In full-year 2025, Tesla worldwide car sales and production contracted for the second consecutive year, but many analysts maintained a positive outlook with growth predicted for 2026, 2027, 2028, and 2029.
2025 (January to December): Tesla’s worldwide electric car production and global sales were lower for the second consecutive year. Worldwide deliveries (global Tesla sales) were 8.6% lower than a year ago, while total production in 2025 was 6.7% lower than a year ago. The Tesla Model Y remained the best-selling Tesla car model worldwide. Analysts predict that Tesla sales worldwide will grow slightly in 2026 but could possibly expand to over 3 million Tesla sales by 2029.
Tesla Worldwide Sales and Production in 2025
Tesla announced worldwide production and deliveries of Tesla electric cars globally in 2025 as follows:
| Models | Production 2025 | Production 2024 | % 25/24 | Deliveries 2025 | Deliveries 2024 | % 25/24 |
| Model 3/Y | 1,600,767 | 1,679,338 | -4.7 | 1,585,279 | 1,704,093 | -7 |
| Other Models | 53,900 | 94,105 | -42.7 | 50,850 | 85,133 | -40.3 |
| Total | 1,654,667 | 1,773,443 | -6.7 | 1,636,129 | 1,789,226 | -8.6 |
Tesla’s global production contracted by 6.7% in 2025 while global worldwide deliveries (sales) were down 8.6% percent. “Other Models” sales, which include the Cybertruck, Model S, and Model X, were sharply down.
Tesla lost its lead as the world´s top electric car brand in 2025 to BYD. In 2025, BYD became the global electric car producer with 2,221,918 BEVs produced and 2,256,714 all-electric car sales worldwide.
Production of Tesla Electric Cars from 2019 to 2025
Tesla production of electric cars worldwide increased as follows in recent years:
| TESLA | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 |
| Model 3/Y | 1,600,767 | 1,679,338 | 1,775,159 | 1,298,434 | 906,032 | 454,932 | 302,301 |
| Others | 53,900 | 94,105 | 70,826 | 71,177 | 24,390 | 54,805 | 62,931 |
| Total TESLA Production | 1,654,667 | 1,773,443 | 1,845,985 | 1,369,611 | 930,422 | 509,737 | 365,232 |
In 2025, total Tesla car sales and production were down for the second consecutive year, but still at the third-highest level ever. However, Tesla lost market share in a growing global all-electric car market.
In 2025, Tesla struggled in the European market due to a combination of more competition and political opinions. Although full-year figures have not been released yet, Tesla sales in Europe (EU, EFTA, UK) were down 28% to 203,382 sales in the period January to November 2025. At the same time, the European all-electric car market expanded by 27% to 2,276,161 battery-electric vehicle (BEV) registrations.
In the USA, changes in regulations and incentives to buy electric vehicles hurt Tesla sales in addition to political events. Sales of especially the Cybertruck remained well below initial expectations.
Tesla Sales Outlook for 2026, 2027, 2028, and 2029
Analysts provided the following outlook for Tesla worldwide deliveries in 2026, 2027, 2028, and 2029:
| Tesla (Predictions) | 2025 (Actual) | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
| Model 3/Y deliveries | 1,600,767 | 1,509,460 | 1,566,724 | 1,703,578 | 1,872,812 | 2,327,902 |
| All other models | 53,900 | 131,292 | 183,519 | 306,880 | 477,639 | 691,999 |
| Total deliveries | 1,654,667 | 1,640,752 | 1,750,243 | 2,010,459 | 2,350,451 | 3,019,902 |
| Median | 1,638,301 | 1,743,856 | 1,900,000 | 2,111,033 | 2,933,198 | |
| Standard deviation | 21,959 | 107,729 | 297,891 | 641,401 | 937,686 | |
| Number of estimates provided | 20 | 20 | 17 | 16 | 11 |
The predictions were compiled by Tesla from estimates provided by Daiwa, DB, Wedbush, OpCo, Canaccord, Baird, Wolfe, Exane, GS, RBC, Evercore ISI, Barclays, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, UBS, Jefferies, Needham & Co, HSBC, Cantor Fitzgerald, and William Blair at the end of 2025.
Global Worldwide Car Sales by Brand in 2025 (Full Year)
- → Global Worldwide Car sales by Brand in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020
- → USA Car Sales by Brand in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, and 2018
Global worldwide sales by brand in 2025:
- Audi
- BMW
- BYD
- Cupra (Seat)
- Kia
- Lamborghini
- Lexus
- Mazda
- Mercedes-Benz
- Mini (BMW)
- Nissan
- Porsche
- Rolls-Royce (BMW)
- Seat (Cupra)
- Tesla
- Toyota (incl. Lexus)
- Volkswagen (VW Brand)
- Volvo
*NOTE: Car sales as reported by the respective car brands. “Sales” often refers to deliveries rather than sales and final registrations by the end consumer. Definitions may vary.